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The Cost of Gut-Feeling Decisions in Business
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€2M in Accounts Payable—The Cost of Gut-Feeling Decisions in Business

Why Cash Flow Forecasting is Essential for Project-Driven Businesses

In the world of project-driven businesses, financial decisions happen fast. Equipment needs to be ordered, contractors need to be paid, and projects need investment before they generate revenue. Many business owners rely on gut feeling when making these decisions, assuming that as long as revenue keeps coming in, they’ll be fine.

But what happens when those decisions snowball into a cash flow crisis?

Recently, I spoke with a company generating €10M in annual revenue while managing 30-40 active projects. Their financial consultant shared a concerning insight: due to investment decisions made in December 2024, the company found itself with €2M in Accounts Payable in Q1 2025—a staggering amount to cover in a short period.

This story isn’t unique. Many businesses make investment and purchasing decisions without truly understanding their cash flow impact. The result? Liquidity stress, delayed payments, and financial uncertainty.


The Disconnect Between Business Decisions and Cash Flow

Why does this happen so often? Because cash flow management is reactive instead of proactive. Business owners see opportunities—expanding operations, investing in new equipment, or hiring more staff—and make decisions based on growth potential, rather than their real-time financial position.

The problem is that revenue and cash flow are not the same thing.

A business can have high projected revenue but still run into cash shortages because invoices aren’t paid immediately. Meanwhile, expenses—especially in project-driven businesses—don’t wait. You need to pay suppliers, wages, and operating costs before the client payments arrive.

This is why cash flow forecasting is critical.


The Role of Operational Cash Flow Forecasting

Cash flow forecasting isn’t just a number-crunching exercise. It’s a real-time operational tool that gives business owners visibility into their future cash position and prevents financial surprises. It allows you to:

✅ Anticipate cash shortages before they happen – See when cash will be tight and take action early. ✅ Plan major investments with confidence – Know if you can afford that new equipment or expansion without jeopardizing liquidity. ✅ Align accounts payable with accounts receivable – Ensure payments are structured in a way that doesn’t disrupt operations. ✅ Avoid financial stress – Make strategic decisions based on data, not guesswork.

Without cash forecasting, you’re essentially flying blind.


How Project-Driven Businesses Can Avoid Cash Flow Surprises

For businesses managing multiple projects simultaneously, cash flow visibility is everything. Here’s how to ensure you’re making data-driven financial decisions:

1. Track Cash Flow in Real Time

Instead of relying on spreadsheets or gut feeling, use a cash flow management tool that updates in real time. This helps you see actual cash on hand vs. upcoming expenses at any given moment.

2. Forecast Accounts Payable & Receivable

Don’t just look at your outstanding invoices—understand when cash will actually hit your account. Simulate different scenarios:

  • What happens if a client delays payment by 30 days?
  • Can you restructure supplier payments to ease pressure?
  • Will your cash reserves cover payroll next month?

3. Simulate Financial Decisions Before Making Them

Before making a large purchase or investment, simulate the impact on your cash flow. A proper forecasting tool can instantly show whether you’ll still have enough liquidity after the expense.

4. Align Operations & Finance

Operational teams (project managers, procurement) and financial teams (CFOs, consultants) must be on the same page. Major purchases should always be reviewed through the lens of their impact on short-term liquidity.


Cash Flow Forecasting is No Longer Optional

Making business decisions without understanding their impact on cash flow is like driving without a fuel gauge—you might be fine, or you might suddenly find yourself stranded.

For project-driven businesses, where cash flow timing is unpredictable, financial visibility is key to stability and growth. The good news? With the right tools and mindset, businesses can make informed, confident financial decisions without relying on gut instinct alone.

At Cashplannr, we help businesses gain full visibility on their cash position, so they can plan ahead, invest smartly, and avoid financial stress.

Ready to take control of your cash flow? Let’s talk. 🚀

January 29, 2025/by thomas_inckx
https://cashplannr.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/towfiqu-barbhuiya-nApaSgkzaxg-unsplash-scaled.jpg 1708 2560 thomas_inckx https://cashplannr.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/cashplannr-logo-2024-300x41.png thomas_inckx2025-01-29 13:11:452025-01-29 13:11:46€2M in Accounts Payable—The Cost of Gut-Feeling Decisions in Business

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